The 2024/25 Premier League relegation battle is heating up. Find out who’s likely to survive, who’s doomed, and what it means for the league’s future.

Premier League Relegation Battle: Who Will Survive?

As the 2024/25 Premier League season heads into its final months, the fight at the bottom of the table is arguably more gripping than the title race. While elite clubs like Manchester City, Liverpool, and Arsenal chase silverware, several others are locked in a brutal, high-stakes battle for survival. For them, it’s not about European qualification or silverware — it’s about staying in the Spadegaming league and avoiding the massive financial and sporting consequences of relegation.

In this article, we analyze the current state of the Premier League relegation zone, assess the strengths and weaknesses of the teams in danger, look at historical trends, and predict who is most likely to survive.

The Importance of Staying in the League

Before we dive into the clubs at risk, it’s worth highlighting why relegation is such a devastating outcome.

Dropping out of the Premier League often results in:

A massive drop in broadcasting revenue
Player departures due to relegation clauses
Decreased global visibility
Potential managerial sackings
Fan unrest and lower attendance

Even with parachute payments to ease the fall, many relegated clubs struggle to bounce back. In fact, some never return.

Current Relegation Zone (As of Matchweek 30)

Position	Club	Points	Goal Difference
18th	Nottingham Forest	25	-19
19th	Luton Town	23	-24
20th	Sheffield United	16	-35

Meanwhile, clubs like Burnley (26 pts), Crystal Palace (28 pts), and even Everton (29 pts) remain uncomfortably close to the drop.

Team-by-Team Breakdown

🔴 Nottingham Forest

Key Strength: Explosive wingers and fast transitions
Weakness: Inconsistent defense, off-pitch financial breaches

Forest possess talented players like Morgan Gibbs-White and Taiwo Awoniyi, but off-field issues — including FFP investigations — have created uncertainty. Their attacking style can surprise bigger clubs, but their leaky defense remains a serious concern.

Survival Chances: 50/50 — They’ll need results at home and defensive discipline.

🔴 Luton Town

Key Strength: Set-piece efficiency, strong work ethic
Weakness: Lack of Premier League experience and squad depth

Luton were tipped as favorites for relegation even before the season started, but they’ve punched above their weight. Rob Edwards’ side shows grit, but talent-wise, they remain one of the weakest in the league. Injuries could derail their efforts.

Survival Chances: 35% — Admirable spirit, but the mountain is steep.

🔴 Sheffield United

Key Strength: Crowd support at Bramall Lane
Weakness: Lack of goals and defensive collapses

The Blades have struggled to score and hold leads, making them arguably the weakest side this season. Despite changes in tactics and personnel, they look destined for the drop.

Survival Chances: 15% — Only a miracle can save them now.

🔴 Burnley

Key Strength: Ball possession and tactical organization
Weakness: Naivety in key moments

Vincent Kompany’s team is committed to playing modern football, but their lack of Premier League street smarts has cost them dearly. They’ve improved in recent weeks but need consistency in must-win games.

Survival Chances: 55% — Could escape if they beat teams around them.

🔴 Crystal Palace

Key Strength: Experience and attacking options
Weakness: Managerial uncertainty and inconsistent performances

With players like Eze, Olise, and Mateta, Palace have the firepower. But poor form and managerial instability have pulled them into danger. If they stabilize, they should survive.

Survival Chances: 70% — Too talented to go down, but not safe yet.

🔴 Everton

Key Strength: Physicality and midfield control
Weakness: Goalscoring and psychological pressure

Everton’s off-field issues and potential point deductions make their survival even more precarious. However, Sean Dyche knows how to escape relegation fights. Their experience might be their saving grace.

Survival Chances: 60% — Close call, but Dyche could make the difference.

Key Fixtures That Could Decide It All

Some of the following fixtures will be six-pointers — games where both teams are fighting for their lives:

Luton vs Forest
Burnley vs Sheffield United
Palace vs Everton
Forest vs Everton

These head-to-heads will be critical in shaping the table come May.

Historical Trends: What the Data Says

Over the last 10 Premier League seasons, teams reaching 36 points are usually safe. Occasionally, 34 or even 33 has been enough. This means clubs currently on 25 points or fewer must win at least 3–4 of their remaining 8 games — a big ask for teams in poor form.

Also, teams with negative goal difference larger than -30 are almost always relegated. This stat doesn’t favor Sheffield United or Luton.

Breakout Players That Could Turn the Tide

Every relegation scrap needs a hero. These players could define their teams’ fate:

Morgan Gibbs-White (Forest): Capable of magic in tight games
Carlton Morris (Luton): Underrated finisher and aerial threat
David Datro Fofana (Burnley): Could surprise defenses late in the season
Jordan Ayew (Palace): Often delivers when pressure is high
Dwight McNeil (Everton): Set-piece weapon and consistent crosser

If any of them hit top form, their teams’ survival chances dramatically improve.

Final Predictions

Based on current form, squad quality, and remaining fixtures:

✅ Crystal Palace – Will survive
✅ Everton – Just safe
⚠️ Burnley – Survive by a point or two
❌ Nottingham Forest – Narrow relegation
❌ Luton Town – Spirited effort, but fall short
❌ Sheffield United – Bottom of the table

Of course, football is unpredictable, and late-season drama could still shift the balance. But as things stand, these outcomes seem likely.

Relegation Isn’t the End — But It Changes Everything

For some clubs, relegation means immediate financial losses and potential fire sales. Others may view it as a reset. Teams like Leeds, Southampton, and Leicester in recent years have used relegation to rebuild — but it’s never guaranteed.

Relegation can spark identity crises, especially for big clubs with rich histories. For smaller clubs, even a single season in the top flight can be financially transformative. That’s why the fight for survival is as fierce as the race for the title.

Support Your Club and Celebrate the League!

No matter who you support, the league is at its best when the stakes are high. The relegation battle adds drama, passion, and emotion to every matchday. Get behind your club, show your colors, and be part of this incredible journey. Whether you’re watching from the stands or across the globe, support the league — every club, every match, every moment matters.